Chokepoint Data · the Strait of Hormuz crisis

Trump says US will not attack Iran before Nov. 3 midterms; blockade stays

2026-10-08 16:17 UTC · diplomatic

In a Truth Social post Trump said the US was 'having productive discussions' with Iran and 'will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the Midterm Elections' on 3 November, while the naval blockade would remain in force. The post followed reports by The Atlantic and the New York Times that the White House had asked the Pentagon for pre-election strike options; Brent rose as high as $105.88 that day before falling back to $104.28.

Sources

Reuters via Al-Monitor · AP via The Canberra Times · AFP via Daily Tribune

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Computed, not asserted — every number here is derived from public data: official EIA Brent closes via FRED, IMF PortWatch transit counts, Polymarket and Kalshi odds, and source-linked curated events. Method and caveats · Atom feed · llms.txt

https://chokepointdata.com/event/2026-10-08-trump-says-us-will-not-attack-iran-before-nov-3-midterms-blo/